As the college football season winds to an end, so will the employment for some coaches. A couple of coaches have already been sent packing so here is the over/under percentage for a few coaches that I think are on the hot seat.
Charlie Weis – Notre Dame
I think a lot of people including Weis see the writing on the wall. Regardless of what he says, he was crying last week because not only was it the last home game for his seniors, it was the last home game for him as well. Weis has been bringing in top recruiting classes year after year, but it didn’t matter. The schedule this year was terrible. and he still couldn’t win. Last week’s game against UConn was the nail in the coffin.
Likelihood of keeping job: Under 20%
Mark Richt – Georgia
Things change quickly in college football. Just ask Georgia. as Georgia. They were just the number 1 team in the nation at the beginning of last season and now they are in complete meltdown mode in Athens. Richt is a good coach but in the SEC you have to be a great recruiter as well. He already has Lane Kiffin saying that Georgia will never beat Tennessee while he is there and he hasn’t been close to beating Florida for the past two years. I think Richt will be back next year but his offensive and defensive coordinators won’t.
Likelihood of keeping job: Over 75%
Rich Rodriguez – Michigan
Year two for Rodriguez started off with a four game winning streak, but they only won one game after that. And now they’re not going to be in a bowl game two years straight. Michigan fans are starting to ask did they hire the right coach and are already talking about his replacement. There is a lot of talent on the offensive side of the ball, but they are very young. Year three is key for Rich because if he fails he is gone.
Likelihood of keeping job: Over 65%
Bobby Bowden – Florida State
As a FSU fan, it’s sad that Bowden is on this list, but the program that he built into a powerhouse now struggles to get bowl eligible every year. FSU’s defense is the worst in college football, but they have one of the top offenses in the country. There have been numerous rumors of him giving up control to Jimbo Fisher next year if he does come back and with the comments made by his wife, it could get ugly. With Mickey Andrews retiring and with the removal of several coaches on the defensive side of the ball that he is friends with, I think Bowden will call it a career and step down after this season.
Likelihood of keeping job: Less than 50%
Al Groh – Virginia
Al Groh should be known as “The coach that has nine lives”. He always goes on a late season run to save his job and Virginia brings him back for another year. But this year will be different because he didn’t go on that late season run. And when Virginia Tech beats him down again, he will be gone. Virgina has wasted the last two years with this guy and if they’re not gonna pull the trigger on Groh, they should just shut down the whole football program.
Likelihood of keeping job: Under 15%